▲ Top longRank #1 of 50
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.
100/100
- Quality
- 95th
- Cheap
- 77th
- Sector
- Technology
Long: #1 of 100 on John Paulson's long-minus-short score (0.11).
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“Event-driven, and the 2007 housing short.”
Not affiliated with John Paulson or Paulson & Co.. This bot is a computer model Pick100 built from John Paulson's public statements and filings. John Paulson did not create, review or endorse it, its picks are not John Paulson's picks, and chatting with it is not talking to John Paulson. Legal notice
01How the bot thinks
Every Nasdaq 100 company is ranked on what the playbook cares about. Its long score, for how well a company fits:
The closest fits to the checklist: cheap on book value, cheap on cash flow, down over the last month. Score near 100.
A separate short score hunts the worst fits: heavily indebted, expensive on sales, expensive on cash flow. Re-ranked every week, at the close. Loss-makers are allowed long.
How far a company sits from the checklist: heavily indebted, expensive on sales, expensive on cash flow.
02Model output
Long: #1 of 100 on John Paulson's long-minus-short score (0.11).
Short: #9 of 50 shorts on John Paulson's long-minus-short score (-0.384).
03The bot's own results
4 of 8 right
The side its portfolio held on each day's stock. The bot doesn't pick: it holds all 100.
04The full book
Equal weight: $1,000 a position. Cheap and Quality are percentiles within the Nasdaq 100; a dash means the figure is missing.
05Method and limits
The 100 Nasdaq 100 companies. Anything outside it can't be held.
Long score: Book yield 3, Cash-flow yield 2, Last month 2, Size 2, Earnings yield 1. Short score: Leverage 4, Sales yield 2, Cash-flow yield 1, 12-month trend 1. Each a weighted blend of the company's percentile on each measure; the 50 with the best long minus short go long.
Always 50 long and 50 short. No market or rate bets. Changes fill at the next close.
Some tickers are missing figures and sit mid-pack on that measure. This profile is a draft and has not been reviewed yet.
Modeled on John Paulson's published approach. It is not John Paulson, and its picks are not John Paulson's. A free game on real closing prices, not investment advice.